Oscar vs Golden Globe, Who Will Win 2013 Oscar

2013 Golden Globe winners and 2013 Oscar Nominations are announced. As Golden Globe always give an indication about the Oscar Winners, i compared Golden Globe and Oscar winner from 2009 to 2012. 

Green highlighted ones show the same winners on that year. In the last row, you can see the 2013 Golden Globe winners and if they nominated in 2013 Oscar or not. 

It is interesting to see that there is not too much overlapping except the Actress category. So theoretically;

Jessica Chastain has a chance of 100% to win the Best Actress Oscar :),
Daniel Day Lewis has a chance of 50% for the Best Actor Oscar,
Argo may win the Best Movie Oscar with a probability of %25,
Skyfall may win the Best Song Oscar with a probability of %25,
And Ben Afleck will never get the Best Director Oscar as he is not nominated :)

Year	Movie	Director	Actor	Actress	Song
2009 GG	Slumdog Millionaire	Danny Boyle	Mickey Rourke	Kate Winslet	The Wrester
2009 Oscar	Slumdog Millionaire	Danny Boyle	Sean Penn	Kate Winslet	Jai Ito
2010 GG	Avatar	James Cameron	Jeff Bridges	Sandra Bullock	The Weary Kind
2010 Oscar	The Hurt Locker	Kathryn Bigelou	Jeff Bridges	Sandra Bullock	The Weary Kind
2011 GG	The Social Network	David Fincher	Colin Firth	Natalie Portman	You haven't seen the lost of me
2011 Oscar	The King's Speech	Tom Hooper	Colin Firth	Natalie Portman	Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
2012 GG	The Descendants	Martin Scorsese	George Clooney	Merly Streep	Masterpiece
2012 Oscar	The Artist	Michel Huzavanicius	Jean Dijardin	Merly Streep	Man or Muppet
2013 GG	Argo	Ben Affleck	Daniel Day Lewis	Jessica Chastain	Skyfall
2013 Oscar*	Argo	-	Daniel Day Lewis	Jessica Chastain	Skyfall

* 2013 Oscar row shows that the 2013 Golden Globe winners are nominated in Oscar or not.

By the way, while putting this post together i realized that Amazon has an Avatar Store, worth looking at it if you are fan.